Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.296849 0.399993 0.520242 0.668546 0.844282 1.043722 1.284960
2025-12-07 0.167762 0.290505 0.457112 0.689216 0.993683 1.369449 1.857881
2025-12-14 0.090881 0.209612 0.398786 0.694329 1.117421 1.675853 2.442264
2025-12-21 0.044677 0.146403 0.340085 0.679041 1.204543 1.939263 2.993514
2025-12-28 0.022498 0.109396 0.307148 0.690165 1.324557 2.252671 3.630147
2026-01-04 0.009968 0.080094 0.274466 0.690680 1.423531 2.539621 4.244810
2026-01-11 0.003173 0.054250 0.234742 0.666073 1.474559 2.755304 4.766916
2026-01-18 0.000688 0.036744 0.203656 0.648015 1.530254 2.977380 5.305140
2026-01-25 0.000084 0.026515 0.185753 0.651743 1.621937 3.258191 5.939624
2026-02-01 NaN 0.016570 0.158801 0.626193 1.654187 3.442675 6.434014
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013014 0.154519 0.654620 1.791146 3.804460 7.211298
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008818 0.141313 0.655609 1.872578 4.075875 7.856318
2026-02-22 NaN 0.007598 0.145062 0.706365 2.062813 4.546150 8.837120
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005809 0.142075 0.736958 2.213915 4.956261 9.736723
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003864 0.133149 0.747056 2.322072 5.296101 10.534687
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002070 0.118330 0.733367 2.376374 5.542390 11.188795
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001264 0.111962 0.746362 2.490623 5.899744 12.032074
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000641 0.103170 0.747551 2.577130 6.209051 12.803308
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000188 0.088883 0.721855 2.597276 6.396142 13.376509
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000034 0.077544 0.702906 2.630624 6.607727 13.994496
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000004 0.071925 0.706938 2.720568 6.928734 14.803178
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.060949 0.679919 2.728506 7.092335 15.348103
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.061089 0.710050 2.887109 7.552258 16.408006